Is a win a win?
Wednesday, May 7, 2008
Sen. Hillary Clinton camp had as–expected–nothing but good to say about her performance in Indiana yesterday. Quotes from her campaign included ”A win is a win,” and “We shocked the world.”
Meanwhile Tim Russert told us,”We now know who the Democratic nominee is going to be, and no one is going to dispute it.” He wasn’t talking about Sen. Clinton.
The Los Angeles Times, Andrew Malcolm mentions Sen. Clinton may still have a shot at the White House–as Obama’s Vice President, of course.
Here is the popular vote tally, per MSNBC’s First Read.
“After last night, Obama now leads Clinton by more than 700,000[popular votes] (16,050,924 vs. 15,336,896). When you include Florida, Obama leads by 419,256, and when you include both Florida and Michigan (and don’t give Obama “uncommitted”), his lead is 90,947. “
Obama therefore leads in pledged delegates, 1,588 to 1,422. He gained 15 net delegates from North Carolina, erasing the 12 Clinton gained in Pennsylvania. Sen Clinton still leads in super delegates, 273.5 to 256, but according to NPR, that margin stood at nearly 100 in early February and is now down to 15.
The numbers don’t even take into account Clinton’s other impediments:
- The conversation has and will continue to change. Cable news will has moved from ”Obama’s Fall,” to ”Hillary Can’t Win.”
- 90 percent of African Americans voted Democrat in the 2000 election. According to The Institute for Southern Studies African-American voters have registered in record numbers in North Carolina — 45,000 in the first three months of 2008, compared with just over 11,000 in the same period four years ago.
- With the potential for that kind of in participation, the DNC will have to come up with some pretty good reasons to a)pick Clinton…and b)avoid mass outrage among the most loyal of constituencies.